BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Traer North Tama

Class: 1A Class Rank: 67 Conference: (7-10) Overall: (7-15) Overall Strength =   46.29

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/01/2003 Home    L    48.15  48   56   2A   63 ( 9-13) East Marshall           1.98     -9.98  score               
  2 12/02/2003 Home    W *  38.09  66   61   1A  111 ( 2-20) Garwin GMG             -8.08     13.08                      
  3 12/05/2003 Home    L *  56.09  45   62   1A    1 (27- 1) Dunkerton               9.91 *  -26.91                      
  4 12/12/2003 Away    W *  48.01  58   47   1A  111 ( 2-20) Garwin GMG              1.84      9.16                      
  5 12/15/2003 Away    L *  56.06  51   62   1A   12 (21- 4) Fredericksburg          9.88    -20.88                      
  6 12/16/2003 Home    W *  52.05  59   50   1A   79 ( 6-16) Janesville              5.88      3.12                      
  7 12/19/2003 Home    L    47.96  41   50   2A   55 (10-12) Denver                  1.78    -10.78                      
  8 12/20/2003 Home    L *  52.47  40   47   1A   20 (15- 8) Tripoli                 6.30    -13.30                      
  9 01/06/2004 Home    L *  38.01  46   54   1A   58 (10-13) Walnut Ridge           -8.16      0.16                      
 10 01/09/2004 Away    L *  33.46  47   79   1A   13 (17- 8) Allison-Bristow       -12.72    -19.28                      
 11 01/13/2004 Away    W *  38.49  55   48   1A  129 ( 2-20) Clarksville            -7.68     14.68                      
 12 01/16/2004 Away    L *  34.01  35   78   1A    1 (27- 1) Dunkerton             -12.17 *  -30.83                      
 13 01/17/2004 Away    L    55.23  61   64   1A   34 (16- 8) Alburnett               9.05    -12.05                      
 14 01/20/2004 Home    L *  37.14  41   67   1A   12 (21- 4) Fredericksburg         -9.04    -16.96                      
 15 01/23/2004 Home    W *  45.09  41   29   1A  111 ( 2-20) Garwin GMG             -1.08     13.08                      
 16 01/27/2004 Away    L *  31.97  36   51   1A   79 ( 6-16) Janesville            -14.20     -0.80                      
 17 01/30/2004 Away    L    54.94  49   51   2A   71 ( 8-14) Grundy Center           8.76    -10.76                      
 18 02/03/2004 Away    L *  38.39  42   67   1A   20 (15- 8) Tripoli                -7.78    -17.22                      
 19 02/09/2004 Away    L *  31.93  46   64   1A   58 (10-13) Walnut Ridge          -14.24     -3.76  rescheduled from 02/06/04
 20 02/10/2004 Home    W *  68.54  83   76   1A   13 (17- 8) Allison-Bristow        22.36    -15.36                      
 21 02/13/2004 Home    W *  67.57  68   28   1A  129 ( 2-20) Clarksville            21.40     18.60                      
 22 02/26/2004 Away    L    42.19  54   81   1A   10 (15- 8) Cedar Falls NU         -3.98    -23.02                      
      Averages              46.17  50.5 57.8

Best game:   68.54 = 7 point win over Allison-Bristow
Worst game:  31.93 = 18 point loss to Waterloo Walnut Ridge
Team stdev:  10.83